Update for September 16-22
Notable changes on the Mekong in the last week.
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SPOTLIGHT
Two weeks of extreme weather in the Mekong cause flash floods and energize the floodpulse
The Mekong Basin was hit again last week by another extreme weather
event, this time a tropical depression coming one week after Typhoon
Yagi. The two wetness maps show where the hardest hit areas were
(blue/purple) with Yagi’s extreme precipitation falling over northern
Laos, northern Thailand, and western Myanmar. The path of last week’s
tropical depression was about 150km south of Yagi and caused flash
flooding and landslides in the Lao provinces of Bolikhamxai, Khammouane,
and Xaignabouli. The storm hit just as Yagi’s floodwaters were passing
through central Laos, so river levels from central Laos to Stung Treng,
Cambodia are currently extremely high, with some parts above flood
stage. This extreme weather is bringing disastrous consequences for
communities in Laos, particularly those living around tributaries, but
it is pushing a robust floodpulse through the Mekong. It is too early to
give a specific forecast, but these and future floods will likely
result in a normal but late expansion of the Tonle Sap in the next three
weeks, bringing positive consequences for the 2024-2025 Mekong fish
catch.
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IMAGE OF THE WEEK
Yagi flooding in Chiang Rai was slightly less intense than August’s severe flooding
In late August we produced a map of the severe flooding in northern Thai
provinces of Chiang Rai and Phayao which showed over 1,500 square
kilometers of flooding during that event. Typhoon Yagi’s flood map over
the same area shows a similar yet less intense flooding pattern, with an
estimated 976 square kilometers of flooding. Both images are attached
for comparison purposes. We will produce more flood mapping like this
for other parts of the Mekong flooded by Typhoon Yagi in an upcoming
special briefing.
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September Flooding
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August Flooding
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Where is the water?
Last week we observed a large cumulative restriction of flow of 1.2
billion cubic meters throughout the basin. Major restrictions came from
Xiaowan (CHN, 209 million cubic meters), Nuozhadu (CHN, 154 million
cubic meters), Jinghong (CHN, 148 million cubic meters), Ubol Ratana
(THA, 198 million cubic meters), and Plei Krong (VNM 166 million cubic
meters).
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Most Impactful Dams
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River Levels
River levels from Chiang Saen to Vientiane are now trending back below
normal levels as upstream dam restrictions reduce flow and as Typhoon
Yagi’s floodwaters move downstream. River levels from Savannakhet to
Stung Treng are nearing alarm or flood levels, and these high levels
will last over the next week. More extreme weather could drive these
levels even higher in the days and weeks to come. The Tonle Sap River
level is below normal, but at the highest it has been since 2019 and
trending upward.
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Chiang Saen Gauge
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Stung Treng Gauge
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Weather & Wetness
The pathway of last week’s tropical depression appears clearly on the
wetness anomaly map (blue/purple) isolated in central Laos. Most of the
rest of the basin is still experiencing severely dry conditions even in
the path of Typhoon Yagi which hit two weeks ago.
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Mekong Dam Monitor in the News
- Voice of America
highlighted the need for better preparedness after devastation caused
by Typhoon Yagi, referencing the Stimson Center's MDM work and need
for better data sharing for early warning.
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